[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 272241
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272241 
TXZ000-NMZ000-280015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2095
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0541 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/NW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 272241Z - 280015Z

LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
EVENING FROM ERN NM INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS/CAPROCK REGION OF NW TX.
ALTHOUGH NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...WILL MONITOR FOR A POSSIBLE
WATCH.

TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AT THIS TIME INVOF EFFECTIVE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM ECNTRL NM SEWD INTO THE LUBBOCK
AREA AND AREAS NORTH OF ABILENE TX. EFFECTIVE WARM SECTOR DOWNSTREAM
OF THIS ACTIVITY ACROSS FAR ECNTRL/SE NM INTO NW TX IS RATHER
UNSTABLE...WITH ADDITIONAL SWD DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED AMIDST WELL
MIXED/WEAKLY CAPPED AIRMASS. GIVEN MODERATE INSTABILITY...VEERING
WIND PROFILES AND 35-40 KTS OF EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR STORM ROTATION...ENHANCING STORM LONGEVITY AND LARGE
HAIL POTENTIAL THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..GUYER.. 08/27/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

35240308 34860258 34110147 33220076 32809939 32209935
32009942 32050259 32590448 33340474 34660443 35490428
35610345