[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242317
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242316 
KSZ000-OKZ000-250045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2066
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0616 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242316Z - 250045Z

ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP N OF WW 742
THIS EVENING.  CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW
ISSUANCE.

AS OF 2305Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED TSTMS INCREASING IN
COVERAGE OVER N-CNTRL OK WITHIN FAR NRN PORTION OF WW 742.  WITH
EXCEPTION OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORM OVER GARFIELD COUNTY...MAJORITY
OF STORMS THUS FAR HAVE REMAINED SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED AS THEY MOVE
GENERALLY NEWD AT 25-30 KTS. MESOANALYSIS AND RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS
INDICATE THAT AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE
/MLCAPES OF 2000-3000 J/KG/ THIS EVENING OVER NRN OK INTO S-CNTRL
KS...TO THE S OF WARM FRONT/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE EXTENDING
SSEWD FROM HYS TO P28 AND THEN EWD THROUGH WLD AND CNU. CURRENT
PROFILER FROM LAMONT OK INDICATES VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WITH 0-3
KM SRH OF 140 M2/S2 AND MARGINALLY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR /I.E. 30
KTS/ TO SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION.

IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
DEVELOP INTO S-CNTRL KS THIS EVENING.  CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA.

..MEAD.. 08/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

36939913 37939892 38499773 38439674 38089557 37209552
36879618 

WWWW