[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 190415
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190415 
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-190515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2024
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS / EXTREME SERN NEB / NRN MO / PARTS OF W
CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 731...

VALID 190415Z - 190515Z

WIDESPREAD STORMS CONTINUE ACROSS WW...THOUGH STORM INTENSITY -- AND
ASSOCIATED SEVERE THREAT -- APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY DECREASING.  NEW WW
MAY NOT BE NECESSARY.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPOSITE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EVOLVING/SURGING SWD ACROSS NERN KS/NWRN AND N CENTRAL MO...NOW WELL
S OF STORMS ACROSS THIS AREA.  THE ONLY SURFACE-BASED STORMS APPEAR
TO EXIST OVER NERN MO...ALONG LEADING EDGE OF MAIN CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER.  THIS BOWING CLUSTER OF STORMS APPEARS TO POSE THE GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT...AND SHOULD MOVE INTO NEWLY-ISSUED WW 733 OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO.  MEANWHILE...STRONGEST STORMS FURTHER W -- N OF
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY -- MAY REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO AN
INCH OR SO IN DIAMETER...BUT OVERALL EXPECT SEVERE THREAT TO
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.  ASSUMING SCENARIO CONTINUES TO EVOLVE AS
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...NEW WW MAY NOT BE REQUIRED UPON THE 19/05Z
EXPIRATION OF WW 731.

..GOSS.. 08/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX...OAX...TOP...

40079667 40689044 40189077 39559057 39488953 38689664 

WWWW