[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 190028
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190028 
WIZ000-ILZ000-190200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2020
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN AND S CENTRAL WI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 730...

VALID 190028Z - 190200Z

SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES SHIFTING EWD INTO WW 732.  IF
CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...WW MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO ITS 19/02Z
EXPIRATION.

LATEST SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA SHOW VORT MAX -- AND ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW -- MOVING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL WI ATTM.  STRONGEST
CONVECTION -- INCLUDING TORNADIC SUPERCELL CROSSING SRN JEFFERSON
COUNTY ATTM -- CONTINUES MOVING EWD INTO SERN WI/WW 732.  WITH WINDS
VEERED BEHIND MAIN CONVECTION...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS LESS SUPPORTIVE
OF LOW-LEVEL ROTATION / TORNADOES ACROSS WW 730.  THIS COMBINED WITH
MORE STABLE AIRMASS IN WAKE OF ONGOING STORMS SUGGESTS THAT SEVERE
THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.  SHOULD THIS SCENARIO PROVE
CORRECT...WW 730 MAY BE CANCELLED BY THE TOP OF THE HOUR.

..GOSS.. 08/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...MKX...DVN...

44658933 44688911 42488905 42528983 

WWWW