[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 180223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180222 
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-NEZ000-180245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2012
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0922 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL AND SERN ND / CENTRAL AND ERN SD / NWRN
MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 727...728...

VALID 180222Z - 180245Z

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS WW 727 AND 728...BUT SEVERE THREAT
APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY DECREASING.  NEW WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

MODERATE INSTABILITY CONTINUES WITHIN WARM SECTOR...WHERE 1500 TO
2500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE CONTINUES.  UPPER VORT MAX CONTINUES
MOVING EWD ACROSS SD...SO EXPECT SURFACE TROUGH -- AND ASSOCIATED
FORCING FOR NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT -- TO SHIFT EWD WITH TIME. 
WITH WEAKER INSTABILITY FURTHER E ACROSS FAR ERN SD INTO WRN
MN...CONVECTION SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS EWD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS.  IN THE MEAN TIME...THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL
WILL PERSIST WITH STRONGEST STORMS -- MAINLY S OF THE SD/ND BORDER.

..GOSS.. 08/18/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...BIS...LBF...

45800009 47069744 47619640 48019612 48229474 46269467
45539672 42869736 42819940 44829962 

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