[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 100114
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100113 
WIZ000-100245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1954
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0813 PM CDT TUE AUG 09 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN...ERN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 707...

VALID 100113Z - 100245Z

...SQUALL LINE SHOULD PROGRESS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF ECNTRL/SERN
WI.  WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...

SURGING PORTION OF SQUALL LINE IS MOVING ESEWD AT ROUGHLY 35KT
ACROSS CNTRL PORTIONS OF WI...ARCING FROM PORTAGE COUNTY TO
MARQUETTE COUNTY.  THIS ACTIVITY HAS PRODUCED NEAR SEVERE WIND GUSTS
AT TIMES...AND ALTHOUGH ORGANIZED...A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED/INTENSITY IS EXPECTED AS IT APPROACHES LAKE MI.  MLCAPE VALUES
AHEAD OF CONVECTION ARE NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE...LESS THAN
1000J/KG...SUPPORTING GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND. WW SHOULD NOT BE
REQUIRED DOWNSTREAM.

..DARROW.. 08/10/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...

43149036 43718918 44438870 44328749 43208796 42649005 

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