[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052140 
MAZ000-RIZ000-052315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1934
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0440 PM CDT FRI AUG 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...RI AND SERN MA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052140Z - 052315Z

LOCALIZED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS EXISTS ACROSS ERN RI AND SERN MA
THROUGH 23Z.

CONVECTIVE LINE EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN WORCESTER COUNTY SWD INTO
WASHINGTON COUNTY RI HAS DEVELOPED A STRONG COLD POOL AND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE RAPIDLY EWD AT 40 KT. SURFACE SWLY TRAJECTORIES IN
ADVANCE OF CONVECTION HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE LOW
90S...WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2000 J/KG. ENVIRONMENT SHOULD
SUPPORT CONTINUATION OF ONGOING ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
RI/SERN MA AND INTO THE COASTAL WATERS.

CURRENT TRENDS SHOULD TAKE THESE STORMS TO NEAR PLYMOUTH BY 2215Z
AND ACROSS THE NRN PORTION OF CAPE COD BY 23Z. ALTHOUGH MID-TO-UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC FLOW REMAINS WEAK...BOX VAD WIND PROFILE INDICATES
WSWLY FLOW OF 30-40KT BETWEEN 1-3KM AGL. WIND SPEEDS LOCALLY
ENHANCED BY CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFTS SHOULD YIELD LOCALIZED DAMAGING
WINDS POTENTIAL ACROSS THE ERN PORTION OF RI AND SERN MA DURING THE
NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

..BANACOS.. 08/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...

42207157 42317128 42327101 42257043 42167001 41986987
41726986 41496992 41457021 41427064 41387111 41357149
41397165 41717169 

WWWW