[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031829
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031829 
MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-032030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1926
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 PM CDT WED AUG 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MN/WRN LAKE SUPERIOR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 031829Z - 032030Z

...ISOLD STRONG/SVR STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MN
ARROWHEAD THIS AFTN BUT A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED...

STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS NE MN
INVOF HIBBING. STORMS ARE SURFACE BASED GIVEN NO CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION PER THE 12Z INTERNATIONAL FALLS SOUNDING. SFC TEMPS HAVE
RISEN ONLY INTO THE MID 70S/LOWER 80S PARTIALLY DUE TO ABUNDANT
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE
70S...MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT STORM
DEVELOPMENT. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS MODERATELY STRONG AND WILL SUPPORT
ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF ISOLD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OR
HAIL. ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH SLOW MOVING
STORMS. AFFECTED AREA WILL BE LIMITED...SO A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED
ATTM.

..TAYLOR.. 08/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...

46879108 46759262 47379383 48139352 48479274 48509133
48388987 47928908 47008931 

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