[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300223 
NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-300400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0714
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0923 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 212...

VALID 300223Z - 300400Z

CONTINUE WW. EMBEDDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN
PRECIPITATION SHIELD ACROSS MIDDLE/WRN TN WITH ACTIVITY GRADUALLY
SHIFTING EWD.

STRONG LOW-MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION REGIME PER NASHVILLE VAD WIND
PROFILE WILL CONTINUE FEED OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY FROM THE SW INTO
THE WATCH AREA. A FEW ELEVATED SUPERCELLS SHOULD REMAIN EMBEDDED
WITHIN LARGE PRECIPITATION AREA ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF SURFACE
FRONT. STRONGER STORMS ARE RACING ENEWD AT 50-60KT IN STRONG
DEEP-LAYER FLOW REGIME. ALTHOUGH STORMS ARE SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED...STRONG SFC-6KM SHEAR AROUND 60KT AND MUCAPE VALUES OF
500-1000 J/KG WILL MAINTAIN THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS. SWD MOTION OF SURFACE COLD FRONT IS BEING AUGMENTED
BY DIABATIC EFFECTS ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION DOWNDRAFTS AND
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. EFFECTIVE SFC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD
ACROSS NRN MS AND S-CENTRAL TN DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH
ENHANCED UVV ASSOCIATED WITH UPGLIDE ACROSS THE FRONTAL ZONE.

..BANACOS.. 04/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...OHX...HUN...MEG...

34668997 35418998 35598945 36138870 36598381 35318380
35008721 

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