[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 292111
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292110 
TXZ000-292315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0410 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN INTO SCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 292110Z - 292315Z

WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR VIS SATELLITE TRENDS ACROSS ERN INTO SCNTRL
TX...A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR ISOLD SEVERE HAIL/WIND WOULD EXIST
LATE THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN INITIATION.

CU FIELD CONTINUES TO DEEPEN ALONG COLD FRONT IN ERN TX...WITH THE
RELATIVELY MORE AGGRESSIVE CU FIELD OCCURRING NEAR THERMAL
LOW/DRYLINE/COLD FRONT INTERSECTION IN SCNTRL TX NEAR TPL/AUS. GIVEN
STRONG ELEVATED WARM LAYER /EVIDENT IN 12Z RAOBS/ ON SRN PERIPHERY
OF MID LEVEL JET...ISOLD TSTM INITIATION STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN.
NEVERTHELESS...AS SEEN IN 18Z RUC POINT SOUNDINGS...FRONTAL FORCING
COMBINED WITH WELL MIXED AIRMASS /ON PERIPHERY OF 90F SFC TEMPS IN
SCNTRL TX/ MAY PROMOTE A FEW ISOLD STORMS REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON...WITH ATTENDANT ISOLD SEVERE THREAT.

..GUYER.. 04/29/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

29919672 29459820 29739839 30779742 31559609 32409534
31859464 30929524 30199614 

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