[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 292040
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292040 
TNZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-292245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0709
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0340 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AR INTO WRN/MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 210...

VALID 292040Z - 292245Z

CONTINUE WW.

LITTLE CHANGE IN LARGE-SCALE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.  ENHANCED ISENTROPIC ASCENT ABOVE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
NORTH OF LITTLE ROCK INTO AREAS NORTH OF MEMPHIS.  LOW-LEVELS 
CONTINUE TO MOISTEN/WARM SOUTH OF BOUNDARY...AND AS THESE PARCELS
ARE LIFTED ABOVE SHALLOW INVERSION LAYER...INCREASE IN CAPE WILL
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR LARGER HAIL SIZES WITH MOST VIGOROUS STORMS. 
AS WEAK UPPER IMPULSE MIGRATES EASTWARD FROM MISSOURI/ARKANSAS INTO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...TENDENCY SHOULD BE FOR STRONGER ACTIVITY TO
FINALLY DEVELOP INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE TOWARD
00Z.

..KERR.. 04/29/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LZK...

35089337 35759222 36069110 36348940 36848744 36648689
36248676 35908688 35628794 35338952 35009056 34729261 

WWWW