[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 261854
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261854 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-262000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0695
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MS INTO CNTRL/SRN AL/SW GA/WRN FL PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 205...

VALID 261854Z - 262000Z

TRENDS CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBILITY OF NEW WW.  CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE WW 205 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 21Z.

CONVECTIVELY-GENERATED BOUNDARY HAS PROGRESSED INTO THE INTERSTATE
65 CORRIDOR OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA.  HOWEVER...SOUTHWARD ADVANCE TOWARD
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI COASTAL AREAS HAS BEEN A BIT SLOWER...WITH MID-
LEVEL TROUGH AXIS JUST NOW PROGRESSING THROUGH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI/SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.  BAND OF FORCING ALONG/AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE HAS BECOME FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...SOUTH OF
BOUNDARY NEAR LAKE PONCHARTRAIN INTO AREAS NORTH OF
BOUNDARY...ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

CAPE IN MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER SOUTH OF OUTFLOW...AND MOIST LAYER
ABOVE OUTFLOW...IS ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG...AND WILL REMAIN
SUPPORTIVE OF LARGE HAIL THREAT IN FAVORABLE COOL/SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  TO THIS POINT...HAIL HAS ONLY
BEEN MARGINALLY IN EXCESS OF SEVERE LIMITS...BUT ACTIVITY SOUTH OF
OUTFLOW COULD STILL INTENSIFY A BIT FURTHER THIS AFTERNOON AS IT
SPREADS ACROSS THE MOBILE AREA INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

..KERR.. 04/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

30779063 31118927 31668791 32468684 32808618 32718541
32188462 31278464 29718578 29368699 29088905 29749094 

WWWW