[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 221415
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221415 
ALZ000-MSZ000-221545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0649
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0915 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MS TO CENTRAL AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 221415Z - 221545Z

...WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...

OVERNIGHT MCS HAS PROGRESSED STEADILY SEWD INTO NRN PORTIONS OF
AL/MS...WELL AHEAD OF MAIN UPPER SPEED MAX.  DEEP WLY COMPONENT
OBSERVED AT JAN AND BMX SUGGEST TRUE WARM SECTOR AND BOUNDARY LAYER
RECOVERY WILL OCCUR INITIALLY INTO THE UPSHEAR SIDE OF THE ONGOING
ACTIVITY AS IT SAGS SWD ACROSS WRN MS. ALTHOUGH INITIAL STORM MODE
SUGGESTS MAINLY A LARGE HAIL THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY...IT APPEARS
INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF MORE DISCRETE STRUCTURES LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.  WW WILL BE ISSUED
SHORTLY.

..DARROW.. 04/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...JAN...

32969086 33778868 33758647 32868657 32119030 

WWWW