[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 220325
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220325 
MOZ000-ILZ000-220430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0645
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 PM CDT THU APR 21 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MO...SWRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 220325Z - 220430Z

THIS MESOSCALE DISCUSSION CONCERNS SEVERE TSTM WATCH 180...TORNADO
WATCH 181 AND SEVERE TSTM WATCH 183.

TSTMS HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARD A LINE FROM NERN MO TO THE OZARKS
LATE THIS EVENING.  MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS THERE IS A NARROW WEDGE OF
TRUE WARM SECTOR OVER SCNTRL MO FROM THE KUNO AREA NWD TO KVIH. 
EAST OF THIS LINE...ANOTHER COOL SURGE HAS MOVED WWD INTO SERN MO
OWING TO TSTMS MOVING EWD INTO THE MID-SOUTH...SUGGESTING THAT
STORMS MAY BECOME MORE ELEVATED WITH TIME.  BUT...EVEN THE STORMS
MOVING INTO THE WARM SECTOR MAY BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED GIVEN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING.  

WATCHES 180...181 AND 183 ALL EXPIRE AT 0600Z. BASED ON CURRENT
TRENDS...ANOTHER WW WILL BE POSSIBLE...LIKELY SEVERE TSTM...OVER
PARTS OF THE AREA.  PRIND THAT THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISKS FOR
WIND/HAIL WILL EXIST ACROSS SCNTRL/SERN MO SWWD INTO AR.  EWD EXTENT
IS IN QUESTION...BUT PERHAPS AS FAR AS SRN IL...FAR WRN KY AND WRN
TN.

..RACY.. 04/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...

36729358 39729180 39098974 37308980 36619051 

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