[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 200040
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200040 
OKZ000-TXZ000-200145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0601
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0740 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS W-CENTRAL/NW TX AND SW OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 164...

VALID 200040Z - 200145Z

DRYLINE REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY NEAR CDS...25 W SJT...20 SW 6R6 LINE
AND CONTINUES TO BE MONITORED FOR SUSTAINED CB DEVELOPMENT IN
ENVIRONMENT KINEMATICALLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH DAMAGING
HAIL/WIND.  TCU AND OCCASIONAL/BRIEF GLACIATIONS HAVE BEEN EVIDENT
PAST 1-2 HOURS...PARTICULARLY IN AREA OF WEAKLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE STONEWALL/KING/KNOX/FOARD COUNTIES.  HOWEVER...
PROBABILITY FOR TSTMS APPEARS TO HAVE PEAKED NOW THAT SFC DIABATIC
HEATING AND RELATED LIFT HAVE BEGUN TO DIMINISH.  WITHOUT
DEEP/SUSTAINED DEVELOPMENT IN ANOTHER HOUR OR SO...WW WILL BE
CANCELED.

..EDWARDS.. 04/20/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

31790091 34830047 34849853 31799903 

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