[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 190210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190209 
TXZ000-OKZ000-190345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0590
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 PM CDT MON APR 18 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN TX PANHANDLE/NW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 160...

VALID 190209Z - 190345Z

SEVERE THREAT REMAINS ACROSS SOUTHEAST PORTION OF WW 160 AS MCS
CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE ESE AT AROUND 20 KTS ACROSS NW TX THROUGH
CHILDRESS/COTTLE COUNTIES. GIVEN EXPECTED LIMITED TEMPORAL/SPATIAL
NATURE OF DOWNSTREAM SEVERE THREAT...AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED FOR NW/NCNTRL TX. OTHERWISE WW 160 SET TO EXPIRE AS
SCHEDULED AT 03Z.

ISOLD SEVERE THREAT OVER NEXT HOUR OR TWO WILL EXIST BOTH WITH
PROPAGATING MCS ALONG/SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER...AS WELL AS TRAILING
SEGMENTS ON SW PERIPHERY OF MCS N/NE OF LBB AMIDST INFLUX OF
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. IN ADDITION...THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
INCREASING IN ROUGHLY WEST-ORIENTED CORRIDOR ACROSS
FLOYD/MOTLEY/COTTLE/CHILDRESS AS SLY LOW LEVEL JET IMPINGES UPON
MESOSCALE COLD POOL...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND FURTHER
WEST-EAST TRAINING OF CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS POSSIBLE.

..GUYER.. 04/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...

33870157 34220150 34680017 34599950 34239933 33689956
33720131 

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