[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021624
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021623 
NCZ000-021830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0485
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1023 AM CST SAT APR 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...OUTER BANKS OF NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 021623Z - 021830Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON OVER PORTIONS OF THE OUTER BANKS OF
NC...MAINLY ALONG AND S OF CAPE HATTERAS. THREAT AREA APPEARS TOO
LIMITED IN SIZE TO WARRANT A WW.

LATE THIS MORNING A CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS WAS OBSERVED NEAR THE
OUTER BANKS OF NC FROM NEAR AND S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NWD TO JUST E OF
CEDAR ISLAND. STRONG LOW-DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES...FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL PERSIST IN THIS AREA INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON AS STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS
MOVES SLOWLY EWD. THE BEST THREAT AREA APPEARS TO BE ALONG THE OUTER
BANKS ALONG AND S OF CAPE HATTERAS WHERE THE INFLUENCE OF THE WARMER
GULF STREAM WATERS IS CONTRIBUTING TO SLIGHTLY STRONGER INSTABILITY.
STORMS SHOULD HAVE A TENDENCY TO WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE FARTHER NWD
TOWARD THE NRN OUTER BANKS.

..DIAL.. 04/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...

34727687 35667575 35097523 34507617 

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