[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 012323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012323 
FLZ000-GAZ000-020030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0482
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0523 PM CST FRI APR 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA/NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 121...

VALID 012323Z - 020030Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING ACROSS AREA AND
TORNADO WATCH 121 WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 00Z.

REGIONAL RADAR AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT MCS OVER SRN
GA/NRN FL HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO WITH
MOST VIGOROUS CONVECTION OFFSHORE OVER THE NERN GULF. WHILE AIR MASS
S OF MCS REMAINS WARM AND UNSTABLE...SURFACE WINDS HAVE VEERED TO 
WSWLY AND RESULTED IN: 1) WEAKENING CONVERGENCE ALONG SYSTEM COLD
POOL AND 2) AN OVERALL DECREASE IN LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. THOUGH
AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT MAY PERSIST BEYOND 00Z ACROSS THE
NRN FL PENINSULA...IT APPEARS THAT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL
HAS DIMINISHED ENOUGH TO ALLOW WW 121 TO EXPIRE AT 00Z.

STRONGER OFFSHORE CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AS IT
APPROACHES THE WRN FL PENINSULA LATER THIS EVENING INTO OVERNIGHT.

..MEAD.. 04/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE...

30898519 31628144 29548143 28878525 

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