[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 011916
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011916 
GAZ000-FLZ000-012115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0478
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 PM CST FRI APR 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA THROUGH NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 121...

VALID 011916Z - 012115Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED
TO PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON FROM THE CNTRL AND ERN FL PANHANDLE
EWD INTO NRN FL AND EXTREME SRN GA.

A SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM SRN GA SWWD THROUGH THE CNTRL AND ERN FL
PANHANDLE. STRONGEST STORMS WITHIN THE LINE EXTEND FROM JUST SE OF
TALLAHASSEE SWWD TO NEAR APALACHICOLA...MOVING EAST AT 35 KT. THE
ATMOSPHERE NEAR AND S OF THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S AND DEWPOINTS RISE INTO THE MID 60S
WITH MLCAPE FROM 800 TO 1200 J/KG. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE
DATA SHOW AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS SETTLED SWD INTO NRN FL...AND LOW
LEVEL WINDS JUST N OF THIS BOUNDARY HAVE SHIFTED TO THE NE ACROSS
SRN GA/EXTREME NRN FL. THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD HELP TO FOCUS
CONVERGENCE AND ENHANCE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AS THE STORMS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP EASTWARD THROUGH NRN FL.

..DIAL.. 04/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29828491 30108408 30658316 31318250 31478158 30488149
29768162 29548229 29398330 29178432 29048511 

WWWW