[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 011716
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011716 
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-011945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0476
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1116 AM CST FRI APR 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MS/FAR NRN AL INTO MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 011716Z - 011945Z

LARGE HAIL THREAT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS
NE MS/FAR NRN AL INTO MIDDLE TN. ALTHOUGH WW NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

WATER VAPOR/VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE
PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS THE OZARKS...WITH BUILDING CB/S DURING THE
PAST HALF HOUR ATOP LOWER CLOUD DECK ACROSS FAR NRN MS. GIVEN EWD
PROGRESSION OF DYNAMIC ASCENT...SIMILAR DEVELOPMENT TREND EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE E/NE ACROSS FAR NRN AL INTO MIDDLE TN ALONG/NORTH OF SFC
BAROCLINIC ZONE. CONDITIONAL HAZARD OF LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST AS MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH
15Z RUC SOUNDINGS DEPICTING AS MUCH AS 500-750 J/KG OF ELEVATED
MUCAPE AMIDST SUFFICIENT CLOUD BEARING SHEAR.

..GUYER.. 04/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

34028877 34098928 34688949 35628872 36648663 36538556
35298560 35218554 34588725 34078848 

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