[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 272231
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272231 
NCZ000-SCZ000-280030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0531 PM CDT MON SEP 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN SC THROUGH CNTRL AND ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 844...

VALID 272231Z - 280030Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEXT FEW HOURS
WITH HIGHEST THREAT FROM PARTS OF CNTRL SC NWD THROUGH CNTRL NC.

EARLY THIS EVENING THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS OVER CNTRL GA. A NEAR
STATIONARY COASTAL BOUNDARY HAS MOVED WELL INLAND AND EXTENDS FROM
THE CENTER OF JEANNE NEWD THROUGH CNTRL SC NEAR COLUMBIA TO JUST E
OF RALEIGH IN NC. RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID
70S HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MLCAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG IN WARM SECTOR E OF
COASTAL FRONT. 

OUTER RAINBANDS WITH EMBEDDED DISCRETE STORMS WILL CONTINUE NWWD
THROUGH THE ERN AND CNTRL CAROLINAS NEXT FEW HOURS. STRONG LOW-MID
LEVEL SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SUGGEST ISOLATED TORNADOES
COULD OCCUR WITH STORMS ANYWHERE IN WARM SECTOR. HOWEVER...THE
HIGHEST TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY BE AS STORMS CROSS AND INTERACT WITH
THE BOUNDARY WHERE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND LIFT ARE LOCALLY ENHANCED.

..DIAL.. 09/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

34647746 33777891 32668033 33258096 34248176 35627999
35657816 

WWWW