[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 160806
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160803 COR
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-161000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2220
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/CNTRL AL...SWRN GA...FL PNHDL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 826...

VALID 160803Z - 161000Z

CORRECTED FOR GRAMMAR 2ND PARAGRAPH ("WERE" INSTEAD OF "WHERE").

THE EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN HAS MOVED ASHORE OVER BALDWIN
COUNTY ALABAMA. EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE FEEDER BANDS WRAPPING AROUND
THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A CHANCE
FOR TORNADOES FOR MANY MORE HOURS AS IVAN MOVES FURTHER INLAND.

ONE SUCH VERY PERSISTENT FEEDER BAND...COINCIDING WITH WELL DEFINED
SURFACE STREAMLINE CONFLUENCE...STRETCHED FROM NEAR MGM IN SCNTRL AL
THROUGH TLH AND THEN SOUTH INTO THE ERN GULF. CELLULAR CONVECTION
CONTINUES WITHIN THIS BAND WITH CELL MOTION APPROACHING 50KT. VERY
INTENSE LOW LEVEL SHEAR CONTINUES TO BE OBSERVED ON VWP AND SOUNDING
DATA WITH 0-1KM SRH IN EXCESS OF 600 M2/S2 NEAR THIS BAND. VALUES IN
EXCESS OF 1000 M2/S2 WERE NOTED NEAR THE EYEWALL. THIS EXTREME
KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT OCCASIONAL TROPICAL
CYCLONE TORNADO ACTIVITY ACROSS THE FL PNHDL...SRN AL...AND SWRN GA
INTO THE MORNING.

..CARBIN.. 09/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

30308829 33468820 32688370 29498370 

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