[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 132315
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132312 
MNZ000-NDZ000-140015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2202
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0612 PM CDT MON SEP 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN MN...EXTREME ERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 132312Z - 140015Z

...WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR PORTIONS OF MN...


LARGE SCALE FORCING APPEARS TO BE SPREADING INTO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY...PER RECENT RAPID INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION FROM SERN ND
INTO NWRN MN.  AS UPPER FLOW INCREASES ACROSS NWRN MN INTO WRN
ONTARIO...EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD MAINTAIN/ENHANCE ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL MAINLY ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF MN.  SRN EXTENT
OF THIS FORCING MAY BE ROUGHLY THE SD/ND BORDER LATITUDE WITH
POSSIBLY A GAP BETWEEN CONVECTIVE REGIMES OVER CNTRL/SRN MN.  WW
WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
WINDS. SLIGHTLY ELEVATED NATURE TO UPDRAFTS DO NOT PARTICULARLY
FAVOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS.

..DARROW.. 09/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...

46659697 47979727 48989705 48699389 46879501 

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