[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060809
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060806 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-060930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 AM CDT MON SEP 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA/NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 802...

VALID 060806Z - 060930Z

GREATEST TORNADO POTENTIAL THROUGH 10 OR 11Z IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
OVER SERN GA...WITH A SLOW EWD SHIFT ACROSS S-CNTRL GA/N-CNTRL FL
LATER THIS MORNING. A REPLACEMENT WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED WITHIN
THE NEXT 1-1.5 HOURS.

LATEST CHS REFLECTIVITY/VELOCITY DATA SHOW A RAINBAND WITH SEVERAL
EMBEDDED MESOCYCLONES FROM 60S CHS WWD TO 30W OF SAV WITH A GENERAL
STORM MOTION OF 115/35. SYNTHESIS OF RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS WITH
CURRENT VWP DATA SUGGEST THAT CORRIDOR FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
SAVANNAH RIVER SWD TO THE FL BORDER AND INLAND 80-100NM REMAINS MOST
FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH MLCAPES OF 500 J/KG AND 0-1KM
SRH VALUES OF 300-350 M2/S2.

EXPECT HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF TORNADOES TO PERSIST ACROSS THIS SAME
GENERAL AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS OWING TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT
OF PARENT TROPICAL SYSTEM. THREAT AREA SHOULD TEND TO SHIFT SLOWLY
WWD INTO S-CNTRL GA/N-CNTRL FL LATER THIS MORNING.

..MEAD.. 09/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

32008515 31798287 32138221 32098128 31498081 28848082
29368513 

WWWW