[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052330 
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-060130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CDT SUN SEP 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MN/WRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052330Z - 060130Z

...ISOLATED SVR POTENTIAL FOR NEXT FEW HOURS BUT NO WW IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED...

STORMS ARE LIFTING RAPIDLY NEWD ACROSS WRN WI AND APPEAR TO BE
MOVING EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AXIS. THIS COMBINED WITH THE FACT
THAT DIURNAL INSTABILITY WILL BE DECREASING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
SHOULD LIMIT SEVERE THREAT. RECENT VELOCITY IMAGERY FROM THE
MINNEAPOLIS RADAR INDICATES SEVERAL ROTATIONAL COUPLETS...SO THERE
IS A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS OR SO.
RECENT VWP DATA ALSO FROM MPX SHOW NEARLY 40 KT OF 0-1KM SHEAR AND
FAVORABLE HODOGRAPH STRUCTURE FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE OVERALL
THREAT APPEARS LIMITED ENOUGH HOWEVER...SO AN ADDITIONAL WATCH IS
NOT EXPECTED.

..TAYLOR.. 09/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...MPX...

43439120 43619267 45109280 45249000 44728961 43459001 

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