[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300603
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300602 
MIZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-ILZ000-300730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2381
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0102 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IL...EXTREME NWRN/NRN IND...ERN WI AND LOWER
MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 874...

VALID 300602Z - 300730Z

VALID PORTIONS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
08Z AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE EXTENDED EWD INTO LOWER MI OR NRN IND.


LINE OF TSTMS ACROSS ERN WI INTO CNTRL IL WAS MOVING NEWD AT 35-40
KTS AND WILL BE EXITING THE WW BETWEEN 07-08Z...THEN INTO LOWER MI
AND NRN IND THEREAFTER.  AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM REMAINS WEAKLY BUOYANT
WITH MLCAPES OF 500-750 J/KG.  AS STRONG HEIGHT FALLS CONTINUE TO
TRANSLATE INTO THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES REGION...TSTMS SHOULD BE
MAINTAINED AS THEY CROSS THE CHICAGO/LAKE MICHIGAN REGIONS.  ONE OR
TWO STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GIVEN THE STRONG AMBIENT
WIND FIELDS...BUT GIVEN THE RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY...THE SEVERE
THREATS APPEAR TO BE DIMINISHING.

..RACY.. 10/30/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...IWX...GRR...MQT...GRB...LOT...MKX...

41008895 43228902 45698841 45698698 45738520 43158506
40968585 

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