[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 292247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292246 
WIZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-300015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2370
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0546 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN MN / ERN IA / WRN WI / FAR NWRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 292246Z - 300015Z

STORMS NOW MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD ACROSS PARTS OF IA AND ERN MN WILL
SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE MS RIVER WITH TIME...ACCOMPANIED BY SEVERE /
TORNADO THREAT.  NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR
ACROSS THIS REGION.

LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS
SPREADING NWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...WHERE 1000 TO 1500
J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE IS NOW INDICATED. AS UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED
90 KT SWLY MID-LEVEL JET SHIFTS ENEWD INTO THIS REGION...DEEP-LAYER
WIND FIELD WILL INTENSIFY...AND WILL LIKELY SUPPORT A FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT THIS EVENING.

THOUGH MOST WIDESPREAD THREAT WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING WINDS WITHIN
INTENSIFYING CONVECTIVE LINE NOW ACROSS ERN MN / CENTRAL IA...STRONG
/ WEAKLY-VEERING LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL RESULT IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADOES -- PARTICULARLY WITHIN ISOLATED STORMS AHEAD
OF MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE.

..GOSS.. 10/29/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...

46349211 46599031 46258932 43198924 40659149 40689244
43549201 

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