[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 262222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262221 
KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-270015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2362
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0521 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SE MO...SRN IL AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 262221Z - 270015Z

THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE MAINLY WITHIN THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO ACROSS EXTREME SERN MO...SRN IL INTO EXTREME WRN
KY. GIVEN THE EXPECTED LIMITED DURATION OF THE THREAT...A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED. 

ISOLATED SUPERCELL OVER SCOTT COUNTY IN EXTREME SERN MO IS MOVING
EWD AT ABOUT 25 KT. THIS STORM IS MOVING ALONG A WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WHERE THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS LOCALLY ENHANCED WITH 0-1
STORM RELATIVE HELICITY FROM 100 TO 150 M2/S2 AND 0-6 KM SHEAR
AROUND 40 KT. THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL EXIST AS THE STORM
CONTINUES ALONG THE WARM FRONT INTO EXTREME SRN IL AND SWRN 
KY NEXT HOUR OR TWO...BEFORE THE STORM EVENTUALLY CROSSES INTO A
MORE STABLE REGIME ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY.

..DIAL.. 10/26/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...

37648941 37098772 36688782 36758861 36898934 37039019 

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