[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242150
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242150 
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-242345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2469
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 PM CST WED NOV 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NC AND ERN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 905...

VALID 242150Z - 242345Z

SQUALL LINE WITH LITTLE OR NO REMAINING CG LIGHTNING ACTIVITY
CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD TO ENEWD ACROSS WW AREA. WW CAN BE CLEARED
BEHIND THIS LINE...WITH POSTCONVECTIVE AIR MASS BECOMING TOO STABLE
TO SUPPORT SEVERE.  PRECONVECTIVE AIR MASS IS ONLY WEAKLY
UNSTABLE...WITH LESS THAN 500 J/KG MLCAPE OVER MOST AREAS BECAUSE OF
SMALL MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES.  HOWEVER...STRONG CONVECTIVE SCALE
ASCENT ALONG LEADING GUST FRONT SHOULD HELP TO MAINTAIN ACTIVITY AT
LEAST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...PERHAPS E OF WW INTO ERN NC WHERE WE
WILL MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE WW.  MAIN THREAT CONTINUES TO BE DAMAGING
GUSTS...SEVERAL REPORTS OF WHICH HAVE BEEN RECEIVED OVER PAST 1-2
HOURS WITH THIS LINE.

..EDWARDS.. 11/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...

36548057 36587812 32557791 32558026 

WWWW