[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 240117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240117 
LAZ000-TXZ000-240215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2445
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0717 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX COASTAL AREAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 240117Z - 240215Z

EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS PORTIONS OF TORNADO WW 885 LIKELY WILL BE
REPLACED WITH NEW WW BY 02-03Z.

SOUTHERN EDGE OF STRONGER FORCING...ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL TROUGH
LIFTING ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS...WILL OVERSPREAD MID/UPPER TEXAS
COASTAL AREAS BETWEEN 03-06Z.  WITH ENVIRONMENT REMAINING WARM AND
POTENTIALLY MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS THIS AREA...RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS WILL PERSIST BEYOND CURRENT EXPIRATION TIME OF WW 885.  AS
LOW-LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO VEER FROM SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY NEXT
FEW HOURS...HODOGRAPHS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS SUPPORTIVE OF
TORNADIC THREAT.

..KERR.. 11/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

29299776 30019736 30349648 32089546 32339442 32139391
29989379 29449417 28829542 28219675 28359741 

WWWW