[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231319
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231319 
TXZ000-231445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2429
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0719 AM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 882...

VALID 231319Z - 231445Z

WW 882 WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 15Z.

CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHWEST
TX.  12Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL ELEVATED CAPE AND STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES.  NEVERTHELESS...CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED IN THE
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...AND PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT WATCH WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 15Z.  THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS MAY INCREASE
AGAIN BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TX AS
STRONG UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

..HART.. 11/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

31619990 33139886 33589797 33529684 32839708 31609793
31209866 31229952 31350015 

WWWW