[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300739
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300738 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-300915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0986
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ACROSS PARTS OF ERN KS...NW MO...SRN IA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 327...

VALID 300738Z - 300915Z

A SQUALL-LINE EXTENDS FROM SCNTRL IA ACROSS FAR NW MO AND INTO
ECNTRL KS. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE LINE WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AS
IT MOVES INTO FAR WRN MO AND ECNTRL IA BY THE 10-12Z TIME FRAME.
REINTENSIFICATION OF THE LINE STILL REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ERN
PART OF WW 327.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A POCKET OF LOWER 70F DEWPOINTS JUST AHEAD OF THE
LINE ACROSS ERN KS. MLCAPE VALUES IN THIS AREA REMAIN BETWEEN 2500
AND 3000 J/KG AND THIS WILL SUSTAIN THE LINE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE LINE HAS WEAKENED SOME OVER THE LAST HOUR OR
TWO...IT MAY REINTENSIFY AS IT MOVES EWD INTO THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL
FLOW. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR NE KS AND FAR WRN MO SHOW 50 TO 60 KT
JUST OFF THE SFC AND THIS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE
WITH THE LINE ESPECIALLY NEAR BOWING SEGMENTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST ESPECIALLY AS THE LINE MOVES INTO THE HIGHER
SFC DEWPOINT AREA ACROSS FAR ERN KS.

..BROYLES.. 05/30/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

40509506 41719400 42019312 41879252 41529200 40799215
39259371 37879518 37399652 37489740 37989779 38349754
39289629 

WWWW