[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 270856
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270855 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-271030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0937
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS W-CENTRAL/NWRN MO...EXTREME NERN KS NEAR
MO RIVER...EXTREME SERN NEB.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 306...

VALID 270855Z - 271030Z

THIS WW MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 10Z.  BAND OF
STRONG TSTMS CONTINUES MOVING NEWD AND PROPAGATING NWWD OVER
DISCUSSION AREA...FROM CENTRAL PORTIONS OF WW -- KC METRO AREA --
GENERALLY NWWD TO JUST SW FNB. CONTINUED NWWD BACKBUILDING IS
POSSIBLE AMIDST FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL MOIST/WARM ADVECTION
REGIME...SUCH THAT CONVECTION MAY AFFECT PORTIONS
PAWNEE/NEMAHA/RICHARDSON COUNTIES NEB THROUGH 10Z...AND MUCH OF NWRN
MO THEREAFTER. OVER WRN MO THIS ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT AREAS MAINLY
ALONG AND N OF I-70 THROUGH NEXT FEW HOURS...SEVERE POTENTIAL MAINLY
LARGE HAIL.  ELEVATED BUOYANCY DECREASES WITH NWD EXTENT AWAY FROM
SFC WARM FRONT...WHICH IS ANALYZED ATTM FROM W-CENTRAL KS CYCLONE
ESEWD ACROSS SERN KS AND EXTREME S-CENTRAL MO. MUCAPE RANGES FROM
NEAR 3000 J/KG S OF MKC TO AROUND 2000 J/KG NEAR MO/IA BORDER. 
40-50 KT LLJ IS OBSERVED IN REGIONAL VWP/PROFILER DATA...ORIENTED
NEARLY PERPENDICULAR TO NW-SE ALIGNMENT OF TSTM BAND.  PRIND THIS
MCS AS A WHOLE WILL INTERMITTENTLY YIELD SEVERE HAIL FOR ANOTHER 2-3
HOURS...WITH WEAKENING TREND THEREAFTER.

..EDWARDS.. 05/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...OAX...

38459270 38439414 38939497 39419545 39529268 

39439545 39669604 39849629 40099633 40419609 40589581
40589555 40549517 40369466 40009399 39689346 39509325