[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 270728
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270728 
NCZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-270900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0935
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN KY...EXTREME SWRN VA...EXTREME NWRN
NC...PORTIONS NERN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 270728Z - 270900Z

LINE OF TSTMS SHOULD MOVE ACROSS HIGHEST TERRAIN INVOF VA/KY BORDER
BY 8Z WITH POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL DAMAGING GUSTS -- ESPECIALLY ON
NW-FACING SLOPES OF RIDGES.  ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
THEREAFTER BUT MAINTAIN SOME STRONG -- POSSIBLY DAMAGING -- WIND
POTENTIAL SSEWD INTO MOUNTAINS OF TN/NC BORDER REGION. WW NOT
ANTICIPATED BECAUSE OF SMALL AREA AFFECTED AND FCST WEAKENING TREND.

FORWARD-PROPAGATION AND FORCED ASCENT ALONG LEADING OUTFLOW SLOPE IS
HELPING TO MAINTAIN THIS ACTIVITY DESPITE MARGINAL BUOYANCY --
ELEVATED MUCAPE LESS THAN 500 J/KG -- AND RELATIVELY STABLE LAYER OF
50S/LOW 60S SFC TEMPS. COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO
PROGRESSIVELY MORE STABLE AIR MASS AND SHOULD WEAKEN ACROSS
MOUNTAINOUS AREA OF NERN TN/NWRN NC.

..EDWARDS.. 05/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

36668436 36758345 37048217 37098169 36848117 36258071
35918090 35778144 35558300 35828399 

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