[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250220
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250219 
MAZ000-RIZ000-NHZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-250245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0884
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0919 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 280...

VALID 250219Z - 250245Z

AN ADDITIONAL WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR NECESSARY OVER NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG TO ISOLD SEVERE TSTMS WILL PERSIST NEAR SURFACE WARM
FRONT AND BENEATH STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
LATE THIS EVENING. DESPITE CELLS MOVING OVER STABLE MARINE LAYER IN
THE LOW LEVELS...VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED
BY VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES NOTED ON OKX AND CHH EVENING RAOBS. WITH
STRONGEST FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER WAVE NOW MOVING
THROUGH...AND DECREASING UPSTREAM INSTABILITY WITH CONTINUED
NIGHTTIME COOLING...A GRADUAL DECREASE IN STORM INTENSITY SHOULD
ENSUE.

..CARBIN.. 05/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...

41357073 41277353 42747351 42707075 

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