[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250218 
KSZ000-250345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0883
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0918 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NW/NCNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 250218Z - 250345Z

MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NEXT SEVERAL HOURS FROM
NW KS INTO NCNTRL/CNTRL KS...WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ONGOING SEVERE TSTM CLUSTERS IN NW KS APPEAR TO OCCURRING WITHIN LOW
TO MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE...WHERE ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS
MAXIMIZED ALONG/BEHIND SURFACE COLD FRONT. TSTMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO SPREAD E/SE INTO ELEVATED INSTABILITY AXIS -- CENTERED
ROUGHLY ALONG I-70 CORRIDOR -- WHERE MUCAPE INCREASES TO 750-1000
J/KG ACROSS NCNTRL/CNTRL KS. GIVEN ELEVATED INSTABILITY...LONG
HODOGRAPHS/VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 60 KTS WILL
SUPPORT LARGE HAIL THREAT OVER NEXT FEW HOURS. MARGINAL/ISOLD NATURE
OF ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE WW ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 05/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

39280089 39770066 39919987 39849915 39599812 39009789
38369845 38369958 38840075 

WWWW