[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 240141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240140 
OHZ000-MIZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-240245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0854
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0840 PM CDT SUN MAY 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LWR MI...SRN AND ERN IL...IND

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 264...267...

VALID 240140Z - 240245Z

TORNADO WATCHES 264 AND 267 MAY BE REPLACED IN ANOTHER HOUR OR SO
WITH A NEW WATCH COVERING PARTS OF LOWER MI...IND...AND SRN IL.

AN ARC OF SUPERCELLS PRECEDES THE COLD FRONT FROM THE SRN TIP OF
LAKE MICHIGAN SSWWD INTO SRN IL. MOST INTENSE ROTATING STORMS
APPEARED OVER LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN ECNTRL IL...SHELBY AND COLES
COUNTIES IN SRN IL...AS WELL AS ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN SRN IL. CELL IN
COLES COUNTY HAS CONTAINED A LONG TRACK MESOCYCLONE AND APPEARS TO
NOW BE BOWING OUT AND ACCELERATING EAST AT OVER 40KT.

STRONG MID LEVEL SWLY FLOW APPROACHING 70KT AT 500MB...LARGE SCALE
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH NEGATIVE TILT UPPER TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT...AND STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE ONGOING STORMS
ALL INDICATE THAT SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL SPREAD EAST INTO WRN
INDIANA....AND POSSIBLY WRN LOWER MI OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
ACTIVITY MAY BECOME MORE LINEAR WITH TIME ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT.

..CARBIN.. 05/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...LMK...IWX...GRR...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...LSX...

37849031 37689090 39489084 40128805 42048768 43408264
41518260 40958472 39048483 

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