[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 232245
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232245 
NYZ000-CTZ000-MAZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-240015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0851
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0545 PM CDT SUN MAY 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NY...NERN PA...WRN CT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 263...

VALID 232245Z - 240015Z

A NUMBER OF SPLITTING CELLS OVER PARTS OF NRN CT LAST HOUR AS
CONVECTIVE CELLS MOVE ACROSS MARINE/BACK DOOR FRONT ACROSS ERN
CT/SCNTRL MA. AIRMASS FROM SRN TIER NY...ACROSS NERN PA...AND INTO
SERN NY REMAINS UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED WHICH SHOULD ALLOW A FEW
MORE STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ACTIVITY MAY
INTENSIFY ALONG THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC FRONTAL ZONE ALONG THE NY/PA
BORDER...AND INVOF WEAK FRONTAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS NERN PA. CELLS
CROSSING THE MARINE/BACK DOOR FRONT WILL BRIEFLY ENCOUNTER STRONGER
LOW LEVEL SR INFLOW LEADING TO SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS...STRONGER
UPDRAFTS...AND HAIL.

..CARBIN.. 05/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...

41137774 42067848 42757785 41977287 40377297 

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