[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231736
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231735 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-231930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0844
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT SUN MAY 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LWR MI...NRN IN...NWRN OH

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 259...

VALID 231735Z - 231930Z

WEAKENING CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD ACROSS LWR MI
AND NWRN IN.  AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE TO
2500 J/KG WITH DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S.  IT LOOKS LIKE THAT AS
SOME OF THE CIRRUS SHIELD FROM EARLIER IL MCS MOVED OVER AREA...SOME
CAPPING SET IN AT MID LEVELS.  ISOLATED STORMS CONTINUED JUST W OF
THE DET AREA...AND ANOTHER AREA CONTINUES MOVING INTO CENTRAL PARTS
OF IN.

IF CURRENT TREND CONTINUES...REMAINS ISOLATED...THIS WATCH MAY BE
REPLACED BY AN ADDITIONAL WW AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS FARTHER SW ACROSS
NERN MO INTO IL.  BUT THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS NRN IN INTO SRN LOWER MI.

..MCCARTHY.. 05/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...

40078681 41218685 41938644 42768608 43558345 42938236
41338241 40668467 40248605 

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