[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 230405
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230404 
NYZ000-PAZ000-230500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0835
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1104 PM CDT SAT MAY 22 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN NY AND NCNTRL PA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 255...

VALID 230404Z - 230500Z

STRONG LARGE SCALE BOW ECHO COMPLEX MOVING ACROSS CNTRL NY AT CLOSE
TO 50KT. NRN SEGMENT OF THE BOW...MOVING INTO MADISON AND ONEIDA
COUNTIES APPEARS TO BE QUITE STRONG BUT COULD BECOME SOMEWHAT
DECOUPLED FROM THE BOUNDARY LAYER ON THE NRN SIDE OF THE WARM FRONT.
LINEAR ARC OF STORMS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS
WITHIN WARM SECTOR AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE QUITE POSSIBLE AS THE
LINE PASSES. IN ADDITION...SUPERCELLS WERE NOTED ON SRM DATA FROM
BGM...AHEAD OF THE LINE MOVING FROM MADISON AND CHENANGO COUNTIES
INTO OTSEGO COUNTY. BGM VWP CONTINUES TO INDICATE VERY FAVORABLE
SHEAR FOR ROTATING/PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS.

..CARBIN.. 05/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...

42587790 43477481 42037481 41127789 42587787 

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