[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 230310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230309 
NEZ000-KSZ000-230415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0834
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 PM CDT SAT MAY 22 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND NERN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 253...

VALID 230309Z - 230415Z

STRONG COLD FRONT IS NOW ENTERING NWRN PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 253
AND WILL TRACK ESEWD ACROSS NERN KS TONIGHT. PRESENT MOVEMENT OF THE
FRONTAL SURGE IS FROM 290 AT 35KT AND THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE
BOUNDARY ACROSS NERN KS AND PERHAPS INTO NWRN MO BY 0600Z. MESOSCALE
LIFT ALONG THE FRONT IN COMBINATION WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND
ADIABATIC COOLING ALOFT WILL LIKELY BE SUFFICIENT FOR INTENSE TSTM
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. LINEAR FORCING ALONG
THE LINE WOULD SUGGEST PRIMARILY A DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THREAT BUT
A NARROW AXIS OF BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF NERN KS
COULD STILL SUPPORT TORNADIC STORMS.

..CARBIN.. 05/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

38349680 38329895 40129852 40159628 

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