[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 221809
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221809 
MIZ000-221915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0820
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0109 PM CDT SAT MAY 22 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 221809Z - 221915Z

...WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR MUCH OF LOWER MI...

DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG WARM FRONT THAT IS
DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MI...PER RECENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY OVER
MONTCALM COUNTY.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITHIN
VERY MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.  SHEAR PROFILES
FAVOR SUPERCELLS...AND GIVEN THE HIGH DEW POINTS THERE IS AN
INCREASING CONCERN FOR THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WARM FRONT.  WW WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED SOON.

..DARROW.. 05/22/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR...

42958619 43808506 43828266 42358278 42068368 42078625