[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 130812
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130812 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-130915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0681
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 AM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS...NERN OK...SWRN MO

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...TORNADO WATCH 196...

VALID 130812Z - 130915Z

EXPANDING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS HAVE EVOLVED INTO AN MCS THAT IS
SPREADING INTO WRN MO AND NERN OK.  LEADING EDGE OF CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW APPEARS RESPONSIBLE FOR RECENT INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
INTENSITY EAST OF THE WW ACROSS HENRY/ST CLAIR COUNTIES IN MO. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN ORGANIZED AS IT PROPAGATES EWD...HOWEVER ONLY
ISOLATED HAIL REPORTS SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS THUS A
NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FARTHER WEST...PERSISTENT WARM ADVECTION INTO BACK SIDE OF MCS WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF SRN KS
WHERE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS FALLEN OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS.  ASIDE
FROM HEAVY RAIN...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DARROW.. 05/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

38669700 37959583 38079467 38689411 38369348 37129412
36459555 36599705 37459825 38379862 38969802 

WWWW