[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 111933
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111933 
TXZ000-112130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0653
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 111933Z - 112130Z

STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS OF SW TX WILL POSE A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THEY
SLOWLY MOVE EWD OFF OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

THE ATMOSPHERE OVER SW TX IS DESTABILIZING THIS AFTERNOON WITH STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG. STORMS CURRENTLY
DEVELOPING OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY
EWD SUPPORTED BY MOIST UNSTABLE SELY LOW LEVEL INFLOW. VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR APPEARS WEAK AND ONLY MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF STORM
ORGANIZATION OR UPDRAFT ROTATION...BUT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..DIAL.. 05/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

30110213 29790271 30780375 32130202 31310042 29910100 

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