[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 072134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072133 
ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-072300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0582
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0433 PM CDT FRI MAY 07 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN-E-CNTRL IA EWD ACROSS SRN WI/NRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 072133Z - 072300Z

DEVELOPING TSTMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL IN ADDITION
TO ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS. A WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

ELEVATED TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST HOUR NEAR DBQ
TO THE N OF SURFACE FRONT STRETCHED ACROSS NRN MO INTO CNTRL IL AS
OF 21Z. DSM VWP AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE STRONGLY VEERING
WIND PROFILE THROUGH FRONTAL ZONE WITH MUCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.
MOREOVER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS LIKELY BEING AUGMENTED BY ENHANCED
ISENTROPIC ASCENT INTO ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET STREAK ACROSS
SERN CANADA. WHILE LARGE HAIL APPEARS TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT...SOME OF THE STRONGEST STORM DOWNDRAFTS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING SURFACE WINDS.

A WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED SOON.

..MEAD.. 05/07/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...

42909168 43049072 42968881 42288757 41668764 41478946
41959136