[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 282235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282234 
TXZ000-282330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1443
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0534 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 282234Z - 282330Z

INTENSE CONVECTION ACROSS POLK...TRINITY...AND ANGELINA COUNTIES
APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING INVOF DEVELOPING MESOLOW ALONG REMNANT
SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY AND GULF BREEZE BOUNDARY COLLISION. VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS COUPLED WITH MESO/STORMSCALE FORCING AND STRONG
UPDRAFT STRETCHING MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLD/BRIEF TORNADO WITH THIS
CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. GIVEN OVERALL WEAK SHEAR AND
FORCING ACROSS THE REGION...AND MOSTLY RANDOM NATURE OF MOST ONGOING
CONVECTION...A WATCH IS NOT BEING ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

..CARBIN.. 06/28/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

30499413 30469487 30709494 31279486 31389445 31419376 

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