[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 280020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280020 
TXZ000-NMZ000-280145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1437
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/WRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 526...

VALID 280020Z - 280145Z

INTENSE CONVECTION CONTINUES SPREADING SWD ACROSS ERN NM AT UP TO
30KT. STRONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WAS NOTED ON CLOVIS BASE REFLECTIVITY
AND HAS RESULTED IN WIND GUSTS OF 40-45KT UPON PASSAGE AT TCC.
STRONGER WINDS ARE LIKELY NEAR GUST FRONT INTERSECTIONS WHERE
UPDRAFT/DOWNDRAFT COUPLETS ARE LOCALLY MAXIMIZED AND THIS APPEARS TO
BE SHOWN BY 50KT INBOUND VELOCITY ON CLOVIS RADAR DATA. LIFT ALONG
THE LEADING EDGE OF DEEP COLD POOL SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS ERN NM
AND PARTS OF WRN TX THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL POTENTIAL
WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE WATCH OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 06/28/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

32990481 35290484 35590361 36030334 36040236 32990243 

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