[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250031 
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-250100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1415
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN LA AND SRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 518...

VALID 250031Z - 250100Z

ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR BEYOND WW
518 EXPIRATION TIME /01Z/ BUT LACK OF LONGER TERM THREAT WILL
PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR ANOTHER WATCH.

LINE OF STORMS MOVING EWD 25-30 KTS ACROSS FAR SERN LA/SRN MS HAS
SHOWN SIGNS OF WEAKENING IN THE LAST HALF AN HOUR AND THIS TREND
SHOULD CONTINUE. CURRENT LINE MOTION TAKES THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS
LINE INTO FAR SWRN AL BY AROUND 02Z. AS THE LINE MOVES TOWARDS THE
FAR ERN PORTIONS OF WW 518 BETWEEN 01-02Z...DECREASING INSTABILITY
AND WEAKENING LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD PRECLUDE A LONGER
DURATION SEVERE THREAT SUFFICIENT FOR ANOTHER WATCH.

..CROSBIE.. 06/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

29768954 30778954 31688930 31798857 30788824 29968826 

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