[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 232231
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232230 
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-240000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0530 PM CDT WED JUN 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN/SRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 512...513...

VALID 232230Z - 240000Z

CONVECTION AND SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF WW 512
INTO WW 513 BY 00Z. THUS WW 512 SHOULD BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED
BEFORE EXPIRATION TIME.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SURGING OUT
AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE LINE OVER CENTRAL NC. SWD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL NC BOUNDARY SHOULD UNDERCUT STORMS QUICKLY
LIMITING THE DURATION OF ANY SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS NEW STORM
DEVELOPMENT AND IN THIS PART OF THE WATCH. ATTM...THE GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT OVER WW/S 512 AND 513 WILL EXIST WITH TWO AREAS OF
ORGANIZED ACTIVITY. ONE OVER WRN/SWRN PORTIONS OF WW 513 WITH
ACTIVITY MOVING OUT OF SWRN INTO SCENTRAL NC SUPPORTED BY 30-35 KT
2-3 KM WIND MAX. WITH THE OTHER AREA OVER ERN NC/FAR SERN PORTION OF
WW 512 AND ERN PORTION OF WW 513...WHERE A STRENGTHENING COLD
POOL/NUMEROUS CELL MERGERS SHOULD AID IN SUSTAINING A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..CROSBIE.. 06/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...

34478011 35508001 35907747 36847628 36417555 35127557 

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