[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 182301
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182301 
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-COZ000-190000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1340
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 PM CDT FRI JUN 18 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/FAR WEST TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 496...

VALID 182301Z - 190000Z

PARAMETERS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS NERN AND EAST
CENTRAL NM.

VIS/RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM
ERN NM SWD TO FAR WEST TX ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN...DRY LINE AND
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
ACROSS THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO AID TSTM DEVELOPMENT.  STRONGER
DEEP LAYER SHEAR FROM EAST CENTRAL TO NERN NM WILL SUPPORT THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WITHIN
WW 496 FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AS STORMS MOVE EWD INTO THE
STRONGER INSTABILITY.

FARTHER S ACROSS SERN NM/FAR WEST TX...WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
CONTINUE TO FAVOR DIURNALLY STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS.

..PETERS.. 06/18/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...

37000519 36970299 33460300 32340272 30990280 29880327
29630401 30520490 31050543 32500512 

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